Projecting Environmental Trends from Economic Forecasts

Sustainable development offers visions of the future, but implementation of new sustainable policies seems slow.

This text presents a forecasting method directed to overcome some barriers to the implementation of more sustainable economic policy.

Using a case study, the authors describe how economic and environmental forecasts can be developed that are relevant to the immediate concerns of policy-makers and are more likely to lead to policy changes.

A combination of forecasting methods are shown to evaluate a range of current alternatives in the future.

Similar techniques have been used in developing countries, but here the techniques are applied to an already industrialized economy.